philip lelyveld The world of entertainment technology

8Jun/22Off

A Short History of Tech Predictions

... There are two ways of looking at predictions of wearable computers and immersive digital worlds over the past decade. The first is that all the past inventions were necessary steps on the path to something grand. ...

The second possibility is that technologists might be wrong again about the potential of the next iterations of Google Glass plus Pokémon Go. Maybe more refined features, longer battery life, less dorky eyewear and more entertaining things to do on face computers are not the most essential ingredients for the next big thing in technology.

One issue is that technologists haven’t yet given us good reasons for why we would want to live in the digital-plus-real world that they imagine for us. ...

I have written before that any new technology inevitably competes with the smartphone, which is at the center of our digital lives. Everything that comes next must answer the question: What does this thing do that my phone can’t? ...

See the full story here: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/07/technology/tech-predictions.html

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