philip lelyveld The world of entertainment technology

Artificial Intelligence in 2030

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Some industry leaders, including Alexander Karp, the chief executive of Palantir Technologies, have argued that the U.S. needs a program to accelerate development of A.I. technology, similar to how it established the Manhattan Project to develop nuclear weapons, to keep it from falling behind the rest of the world. At the DealBook Summit, Marc Raibert, the founder of Boston Dynamics, the robotics company, disagreed. “It seems to me we have about three or four or five of them already if you look at the big companies who are investing 10s or 20s or 30s of billions of dollars in it,” he said, referring to the handful of companies building generative A.I. models, which includes Meta, Google and OpenAI, which is spending more than $5.4 billion a year to develop A.I.

Eugenia Kuyda, the founder of Replika, an A.I. companion company, said that if the U.S. government wanted to accelerate A.I. research, it should start by making it easier for A.I. scientists to immigrate. ...

In another live poll, six of the 10 panelists indicated they believed A.I. will create more jobs than it destroys. ... But the vision of widespread economic prosperity that some think A.I. puts within reach isn’t a given.  ...

President Trump, in his previous term, tried to push the limits in a bunch of different ways, tried to tell people underneath him to do things that were norm violating or illegal, and they pushed back. If all those people under him were instead 10 times as brilliant, but perfectly loyal — programmed to be perfectly loyal — that could be a destabilizing situation. ...

One immediate fear cited by Hinton, the Nobel Prize-winning researcher, is that A.I. will flood the internet with so much false content that most people will “not be able to know what is true anymore.” ... “A.I. slop” could increase the value of things that are created by humans.  ...

See the full story here: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/19/business/dealbook/artificial-intelligence-in-2030.html