philip lelyveld The world of entertainment technology

Six (or seven) predictions for AI 2026 from a Generative AI realist

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5. No country will take a decisive lead in the GenAI “race”. 
6. Work on new approaches such as world models and neurosymbolic will escalate.
7. 2025 will be known as the year of the peak bubble, and also the moment at which Wall Street began to lose confidence in generative AI. Valuations may go up before they fall, but the Oracle craze early in September and what has happened since will in hindsight be seen as the beginning of the end.
8. Backlash to Generative AI and radical deregulation will escalate. In the midterms, AI will be an election issue for first time. Trump may eventually distance himself from AI because of this backlash.

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See the full story here: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/six-or-seven-predictions-for-ai-2026