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Amodei just published an essay called "The Adolescence of Technology." It's long and dense, but it deserves your time.
He describes AI systems that exceed Nobel Prize-winning intelligence across multiple fields arriving within one to two years, a scenario he calls "a country of geniuses in a datacenter" running millions of instances simultaneously at 10 to 100 times human speed. He covers five risk categories: AI systems behaving unexpectedly, the democratization of bioweapons, AI-enabled authoritarianism, massive job displacement, and dangerous concentrations of economic power.
What distinguishes this essay from the usual AI doom discourse is Amodei's restraint. He acknowledges uncertainty throughout, avoids breathless predictions, and calls for targeted interventions rather than sweeping regulation. He is threading a needle between complacency and panic, and doing it carefully. ...
See the full story here: https://shellypalmer.com/2026/01/when-the-builders-tell-you-to-pay-attention/