... The “Complex Five”: know your unknowns...
Known knowns: ...there is no uncertainty...
Unknown knowns: Things we think we know, but we find that we don’t understand them when they manifest. ...
Known unknowns: ... These are obvious, highly likely events, but few acknowledge them. ...
Unknown unknowns: Things that we don’t know that we don’t know. ...
Butterfly Effects: ... how small changes can have significant and unpredictable consequences. ...
All these degrees of uncertainty share a common trait: ignorance, or absence of evidence, is not evidence of absence. ...
[PhilNote: the article gets into examples and what to do about them]
See the full story with diagram here: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2024/07/5-strategies-agency-relevant-age-of-ai/